I started and finished A Sense of Direction in one evening; I couldn't really stop thinking about it, so I couldn't put it down. I found it...
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Greg Craven's book is definitely more than just another book about climate change featuring a polar bear on its cover! "What's The Worst That Could Happen?" doesn't tell you WHAT to think about climate change but HOW to think about it. Greg Craven provides you with critical thinking tools and methods which can be applied to other issues where you don't have all or just lots of contradictory information but where you nonetheless need to make a decision. He explains how you can judge your sources' reliability with the help of a credibility spectrum and what kind of traps like confirmation bias our glitchy brains hold in store for us. Science per se is never certain and works with probabilities and likelihoods. This leads to Craven's conclusion that we can not ponder the question "is there anthropogenic climate change?" indefinetly, waiting for absolute proof. We are just wasting valuable time while already running the experiment if we do. To quote the author "The useful question to ask about a scientific claim is not "Has this been proven?" but "Is the evidence sufficient to yield a probability that justifies action in this case?" In other words, given the risks, is this enough to go on?"
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What's the Worst That Could Happen?: A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate by Greg Craven
bwemail2005-anfragen, August 28, 2009
Greg Craven's book is definitely more than just another book about climate change featuring a polar bear on its cover! "What's The Worst That Could Happen?" doesn't tell you WHAT to think about climate change but HOW to think about it. Greg Craven provides you with critical thinking tools and methods which can be applied to other issues where you don't have all or just lots of contradictory information but where you nonetheless need to make a decision. He explains how you can judge your sources' reliability with the help of a credibility spectrum and what kind of traps like confirmation bias our glitchy brains hold in store for us. Science per se is never certain and works with probabilities and likelihoods. This leads to Craven's conclusion that we can not ponder the question "is there anthropogenic climate change?" indefinetly, waiting for absolute proof. We are just wasting valuable time while already running the experiment if we do. To quote the author "The useful question to ask about a scientific claim is not "Has this been proven?" but "Is the evidence sufficient to yield a probability that justifies action in this case?" In other words, given the risks, is this enough to go on?"(5 of 6 readers found this comment helpful)