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More copies of this ISBN:Business Dynamics : Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World / With CD-rom (00 Edition)by John D. Sterman
Synopses & ReviewsPublisher Comments:The leading authority on system dynamics explains this approach to organizational problem solving, emphasizing simulation models to understand issues such as fluctuating sales, market growth and stagnation, the reliability of forecasts and the rationality of business decision-making. The CD includes modeling software from Vensim, ithink, and PowerSim. Synopsis:The leading authority on system dynamics explains this approach to organizational problem solving, emphasizing simulation models to understand issues such as fluctuating sales, market growth and stagnation, the reliability of forecasts and the rationality of business decision-making. The CD includes modeling software from Vensim, ithink, and PowerSim. About the AuthorJohn Sterman (Lexington, MA) teaches at the Sloan School of Management and direct MIT's System Dynamics Group. Table of Contents Introduction 1. Learning In and About Complex Systems 3. The Modeling Process Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking 6. Stocks and Flows 8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures 9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems 12. Coflows and Aging Chains 14. Forming Non-linear Relationships 15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations? 17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations 19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles Part VI. Validationand Model Testing Part VII. Commencement Appendix A: Numerical Integration References | |||||||||
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