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Overheated: The Human Cost of Climate Changeby Andrew T Guzman
Synopses & Reviews
Deniers of climate change sometimes quip that claims about global warming are more about political science than climate science. They are wrong on the science, but may be right with respect to its political implications. A hotter world, writes Andrew Guzman, will bring unprecedented migrations, famine, war, and disease. It will be a social and political disaster of the first order.
In Overheated, Guzman takes climate change out of the realm of scientific abstraction to explore its real-world consequences. He writes not as a scientist, but as an authority on international law and economics. He takes as his starting point a fairly optimistic outcome in the range predicted by scientists: a 2 degree Celsius increase in average global temperatures. Even this modest rise would lead to catastrophic environmental and social problems. Already we can see how it will work: The ten warmest years since 1880 have all occurred since 1998, and one estimate of the annual global death toll caused by climate change is now 300,000. That number might rise to 500,000 by 2030. He shows in vivid detail how climate change is already playing out in the real world. Rising seas will swamp island nations like Maldives; coastal food-producing regions in Bangladesh will be flooded; and millions will be forced to migrate into cities or possibly "climate-refugee camps." Even as seas rise, melting glaciers in the Andes and the Himalayas will deprive millions upon millions of people of fresh water, threatening major cities and further straining food production. Prolonged droughts in the Sahel region of Africa have already helped produce mass violence in Darfur.
Clear, cogent, and compelling, Overheated shifts the discussion on climate change toward its devastating impact on human societies. Two degrees Celsius seems such a minor change. Yet it will change everything.
"In his latest, UC Berkeley law professor Guzman (How International Law Works) illustrates the exact ways that climate change will harm humanity. To persuade naysayers, one section is addressed to skeptics and picks apart articles that diminish the imperative nature of the crisis, while citing environmental science to show just how the planet will continue to change if action isn't taken. The book is at its best in these moments, dealing directly with the effects higher temperatures have on specific communities. Californian farming, reliant on accumulated snow for watering plants, will suffer if weather systems continue to change; an indigenous Bolivian community (the Uru Chipaya) that thrives on glacial runoff will be forced to alter its livelihood as glaciers melt at an expedited rate; and the disaster in Darfur is linked to a drought that threw Sudanese coexistence into devastation. Guzman advocates global cooperation to reduce the rate of greenhouse gas emissions and prevent 'the most severe effects of a warming world.' Although the book falters with some less grounded examples regarding disease, Guzman's argument is thoroughly researched and will discourage doubters. Agent: Susan Schulman, Susan Schulman: A Literary Agency. (Feb.)" Publishers Weekly Copyright PWxyz, LLC. All rights reserved.
About the Author
Andrew T. Guzman is Professor of Law and Associate Dean for International and Executive Education at the University of California, Berkeley. His books include How International Law Works and International Trade Law, among others.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Kerplunk! and Planet Earth
Chapter 2: A Message From Climate Scientists
Chapter 3: Deeper Waters
Chapter 4: A Thirsty World
Chapter 5: Climate Wars: A Shower of Sparks
Chapter 6: Climate Change is Bad For Your Health
Chapter 7: Where Do We Go From Here
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