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Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage

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Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage Cover

 

Synopses & Reviews

Publisher Comments:

Geophysicist M. King Hubbert predicted in 1956 that U.S. oil production would reach its highest level in the early 1970s. Though roundly criticized by oil experts and economists, Hubbert's prediction came true in 1970.

In this revised and updated edition reflecting the latest information on the world supply of oil, Kenneth Deffeyes uses Hubbert's methods to find that world oil production will peak in this decade--and there isn't anything we can do to stop it. While long-term solutions exist in the form of conservation and alternative energy sources, they probably cannot--and almost certainly will not--be enacted in time to evade a short-term catastrophe.

Review:

"Deffeyes has reached a conclusion with far-reaching consequences for the entire industrialized world. . . . The conclusion is this: in somewhere between two and six years from now, worldwide oil production will peak. After that, chronic shortages will become a way of life. The 100-year reign of King Oil will be over." Fred Guterl, Newsweek

Review:

"A most readable handbook. . . . If [Deffeyes] is right we have, at most, two or three years in which to prepare for yet another price shock, and to accelerate our move away from oil as fuel. The strength of the book lies in its solid background and well-explained basis for that single prediction." Stuart Young, Nature

Review:

"Deffeyes makes a persuasive case. . . . This is an oilman and geologist's assessment of the future, grounded in cold mathematics. And it's frightening." Paul Raeburn, Scientific American

Review:

"An important new book." Robert Kuttner, Boston Globe

Review:

"The story behind Hubbert's analysis?is told with engaging wit, humor, and great insight. . . . Deffeyes writes with the taut reasoning of a scientist and the passion of someone raised in the industry. . . . His background is ideal for the subject, and the book is a gem. . . . Read Hubbert's Peak." Brian J. Skinner, American Scientist

Review:

"[Some] experts . . . worry that the global peak in production will come in the next decade. . . . A heavyweight has now joined this gloomy chorus. Kenneth Deffeyes argues in a lively new book that global oil production could peak as soon as 2004." The Economist

Review:

"A persuasive prophecy. Hubbert's story is important and needs to be told. I suspect that historians in years to come will recognise Hubbert's Peak as a historical turning point." Tim Burnhill, New Scientist

About the Author

Kenneth S. Deffeyes is Professor Emeritus at Princeton University. He grew up in the oilfields; his father was a pioneer petroleum engineer. At the Shell Oil research laboratory in Houston, he was a colleague of M. King Hubbert. He joined the Princeton faculty in 1967 and continued to participate in the petroleum industry as a consultant and as an expert witness. General readers best know Deffeyes as the guide/mentor in John McPhee's series of popular books on geology, collected and republished under the title Annals of the Former World.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments ix

CHAPTER 1 Overview 1

CHAPTER 2 The Origin of Oil 14

CHAPTER 3 Oil Reservoirs and Oil Traps 40

CHAPTER 4 Finding It 70

CHAPTER 5 Drilling Methods 88

CHAPTER 6 Size and Discoverability of Oil Fields 113

CHAPTER 7 Hubbert Revisited 133

CHAPTER 8 Rate Plots 150

CHAPTER 9 The Future of Fossil Fuels 159

CHAPTER 10 Alternative Energy Sources 176

CHAPTER 11 A New Outlook 186

Notes 191

Index 205

Product Details

ISBN:
9780691116259
Subtitle:
The Impending World Oil Shortage
Author:
Deffeyes, Kenneth S.
Publisher:
Princeton University Press
Location:
Princeton, N.J.
Subject:
General
Subject:
Power Resources
Subject:
Natural Resources
Subject:
Petroleum industry and trade
Subject:
Petroleum
Subject:
Petroleum reserves.
Subject:
Earth Sciences
Subject:
Political Science and International Relations
Subject:
Economics
Subject:
Geological Science
Subject:
Power Resources - General
Copyright:
Edition Description:
Trade paper
Series Volume:
80
Publication Date:
October 2003
Binding:
Paperback
Grade Level:
College/higher education:
Language:
English
Illustrations:
25 halftones, 50 line illus.
Pages:
224
Dimensions:
9 x 6 in 12 oz

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Related Subjects

Engineering » Engineering » General Engineering
History and Social Science » Politics » Politics of Oil
Science and Mathematics » Geology » General
Science and Mathematics » Geology » Petroleum Geology

Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage Used Trade Paper
0 stars - 0 reviews
$7.95 In Stock
Product details 224 pages Princeton University Press - English 9780691116259 Reviews:
"Review" by , "Deffeyes has reached a conclusion with far-reaching consequences for the entire industrialized world. . . . The conclusion is this: in somewhere between two and six years from now, worldwide oil production will peak. After that, chronic shortages will become a way of life. The 100-year reign of King Oil will be over."
"Review" by , "A most readable handbook. . . . If [Deffeyes] is right we have, at most, two or three years in which to prepare for yet another price shock, and to accelerate our move away from oil as fuel. The strength of the book lies in its solid background and well-explained basis for that single prediction."
"Review" by , "Deffeyes makes a persuasive case. . . . This is an oilman and geologist's assessment of the future, grounded in cold mathematics. And it's frightening."
"Review" by , "An important new book."
"Review" by , "The story behind Hubbert's analysis?is told with engaging wit, humor, and great insight. . . . Deffeyes writes with the taut reasoning of a scientist and the passion of someone raised in the industry. . . . His background is ideal for the subject, and the book is a gem. . . . Read Hubbert's Peak."
"Review" by , "[Some] experts . . . worry that the global peak in production will come in the next decade. . . . A heavyweight has now joined this gloomy chorus. Kenneth Deffeyes argues in a lively new book that global oil production could peak as soon as 2004."
"Review" by , "A persuasive prophecy. Hubbert's story is important and needs to be told. I suspect that historians in years to come will recognise Hubbert's Peak as a historical turning point."
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