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This title in other editions

State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (Plenum Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis)

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State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (Plenum Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis) Cover

 

Synopses & Reviews

Publisher Comments:

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

Book News Annotation:

A practical guide for demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. Describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort- component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. Considers the strengths and weaknesses of different projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problem of making projections for small areas, and examines technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area projections. Smith is affiliated with the University of Florida.
Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)

Table of Contents

1. Rationale, Terminology, Scope. 2. Fundamentals of Population Analysis. 3. Overview of the Cohort-Component Method. 4. Mortality. 5. Fertility. 6. Migration. 7. Implementing the Cohort-Component Method. 8. Trend Extrapolation Methods. 9. Structural Models I: Economic-Demographic. 10. Structural Models II: Urban Systems. 11. Special Adjustments. 12. Evaluating Projections. 13. Forecast Accuracy and Bias. 14. A Practical Guide to Small Area Projections. 15. New Directions in Population Projection Research. Glossary.

Product Details

ISBN:
9780306464928
Author:
Smith, Stanley K.
Author:
Swanson, David A.
Author:
Tayman, Jeff
Publisher:
Springer
Location:
Dordrecht
Subject:
Administration
Subject:
Methodology
Subject:
Forecasting
Subject:
Demography
Subject:
Population research
Subject:
Population forecasting
Subject:
Population growth.
Subject:
Economics - General
Subject:
Population forecasting -- Methodology.
Subject:
Population research -- Methodology.
Subject:
Sociology - General
Subject:
Population Economics
Subject:
Public Health/Gesundheitswesen
Subject:
Environmental management
Subject:
Statistics/General
Subject:
Public Health
Subject:
Economics
Subject:
Language, literature and biography
Subject:
Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
Subject:
Population
Subject:
Statistics
Copyright:
Edition Description:
Book
Series:
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Publication Date:
20010431
Binding:
HARDCOVER
Language:
English
Illustrations:
Yes
Pages:
448
Dimensions:
235 x 155 mm 1780 gr

Related Subjects

Health and Self-Help » Health and Medicine » Practice Management
History and Social Science » Economics » General
History and Social Science » Geography » General
History and Social Science » Sociology » General
Science and Mathematics » Biology » General
Science and Mathematics » Environmental Studies » General

State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (Plenum Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis) New Hardcover
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$281.25 In Stock
Product details 448 pages Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers - English 9780306464928 Reviews:
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