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The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future

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The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future Cover

 

Synopses & Reviews

Publisher Comments:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures.--Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University

The Predictioneer's Game teaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach.--Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago

Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help solve them. This easy and enjoyable read is, in many ways, a how-to book for that very purpose.--George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State

Shakespeare said that poetry was giving 'to airy nothingness a local habitation and a name.' Game theory has never been airy nothingness, but to those who through lack of exposure or (like me) the wrong kind of exposure years ago may have had such thoughts, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita follows Shakespeare's path and opens a new world. In Bueno de Mesquita's hands, game theory becomes a fascinating tool for understanding everything from how to steer the selection of a CEO to great swaths of both the past and future. Don't miss this one if you care about understanding how decisions are made-pretty much all decisions.--R. James Woolsey, former Director of Central Intelligence; Annenberg Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution

Bueno de Mesquita has successfully turned the art of decision-making into a science - and enriched our understanding of politics and business in the process. Dispensing with cliches about rationality and irrationality, he explains how to predict behavior based on the relevant players' interests and contexts. Bueno de Mesquita says he does not have a crystal ball, but this book gives readers the ingredients to build their own.--Parag Khanna, author of The Second World: How Emerging Powers are Redefining Global Competition in the 21st Century

Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world through quite the same eyes as in one's virginal, pre--game theory days.--Kirkus Reviews

Provocative. . . . this] cogently argued and fascinating brief will appeal to anyone interested in complex national-security issues.--Publishers Weekly

From the Hardcover edition.

Synopsis:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy, and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the

Synopsis:

An NYU political scientist explains how he is able to predict world events through logical analyses of game theory, math, and behavioral science, outlining principles through which readers can more comprehensively view and interact with the world.

Synopsis:

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures.--Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University

The Predictioneer's Game teaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach.--Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago

Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help solve them. This easy and enjoyable r

Table of Contents

What will it take to put you in this car today? — Game theory 101 — Game theory 102 — Bombs away — Napkins for peace : defining the question — Engineering the future — Fast-forward the present — How to predict the unpredictable — Fun with the past — Dare to be embarrassed! — The big sweep : the history of worms or bali-high, bali-low.

Product Details

ISBN:
9781588369086
Subtitle:
Using the Logic of Brazen Self-interest to See and Shape the Future
Publisher:
Random House
Illustrator:
Bruce Bueno De, Mesquita
Creator:
Bruce Bueno De, Mesquita
Author:
Bueno De Mesquita, Bruce
Author:
Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de
Author:
Bruce Bueno De, Mesquita
Subject:
Political Science : History & Theory - General
Subject:
History & Theory - General
Subject:
Economic man.
Subject:
Self-interest
Subject:
Future Studies
Subject:
Game Theory
Subject:
History & Theory
Subject:
Mathematics-Modeling
Subject:
Politics - General
Subject:
Sociology-Future Studies
Subject:
Sociology - General
Subject:
main_subject
Subject:
all_subjects
Publication Date:
20090929
Binding:
ELECTRONIC
Language:
English
Illustrations:
Y
Pages:
248

Related Subjects

» Health and Self-Help » Psychology » General
» History and Social Science » Economics » General
» History and Social Science » Politics » General
» History and Social Science » Sociology » Future Studies
» Science and Mathematics » Mathematics » Modeling

The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
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Product details 248 pages Random House Publishing Group - English 9781588369086 Reviews:
"Synopsis" by , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy, and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the
"Synopsis" by , An NYU political scientist explains how he is able to predict world events through logical analyses of game theory, math, and behavioral science, outlining principles through which readers can more comprehensively view and interact with the world.
"Synopsis" by , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures.--Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University

The Predictioneer's Game teaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach.--Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago

Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help solve them. This easy and enjoyable r

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