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Angel #2: Profit from the Peak: The End of Oil and the Greatest Investment Event of the Centuryby Brian Hicks
Synopses & Reviews
There is no doubt that oil production will peak, if it hasn't already, and that all other fossil fuels will peak soon after. The important questions for investors are: when will it happen, to what extent, and what can I do to capitalize on it?
According to authors Brian Hicks and Chris Nelder, we're quickly facing the end of our oil-based economy. Half of the world's known oil reserves are gone, and with roughly a trillion barrels remaining—and consumption up to eighty-six million barrels a day—the world has about thirty years of oil left. And that's a best-case scenario.
But every crisis contains the blueprint for its own solution. As entrepreneurs, inventors, the scientific community, and even Big Oil race to find the next abundant energy source, the largest potential crisis of the twenty-first century has also become the greatest investment opportunity of this century. In fact, the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that at least $20 trillion will have to be invested over the next twenty-five years to meet surging energy demand.
Divided into three comprehensive parts—The Crisis in a Barrel, Making Money from the Fossil Fuels That Are Left, and Energy after Oil—Profit from the Peak contains the information you need to successfully navigate this epic event. Hicks and energy expert Chris Nelder take a hard look at the future of oil and gas, discuss how you can effectively invest in these resources, and detail the potential profitability of energy alternatives that are poised to power the years ahead. Along the way, they also explore the potential, as well as the inherent limitations, of each major energy source and carefully cover the investing angles of each one.
Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, Profit from the Peak will help you understand this ever-changing marketplace so that you can excel in it. Issues addressed include:
But Profit from the Peak is more than just a guide to capitalizing on a potential energy crisis. By asking how this situation could affect you as both an investor and an individual, it offers a sobering assessment of where we are and what it will take to find a way forward amid the coming changes.
Book News Annotation:
A financial expert and an energy expert team up to answer questions on many minds about the current oil crisis and options for the future. Hicks and Nelder (contributors to Energy and Capital among other publications) trace the situation since the end of 2005 when the consumption of half of the world's known oil reserves was reached, and discuss the investment potential of alternative energy sources. The book includes tables on the typical heat values of major fuel sources, finished fuels, comparative thermal values, and the production of top oil-producing countries; and a glossary. Annotation ©2008 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)
Profit from the Peak contains the information you need to successfully navigate the end of our oil-based economy. It takes a hard look at the future of oil and gas, examines how you can effectively invest in these resources, and profit from energy alternatives that are poised to power the years ahead. Along the way, this book also explores the potential, and possible limitations, of each major energy source, while carefully cover the investing angles of each one.
Praise for Profit from the Peak
"This book is a clearly written, succinct, and well-referenced summary of information about, and related to, what I believe will be the most important issue to strike Western civilization ever: the end of cheap oil. It is clear to me that how we make investments over the next few decades will determine whether we can survive the end of cheap oil and in what fashion. While I am not nearly as optimistic as the authors that there is a supply-side solution to the issues we will face 'postpeak oil,' they certainly have lots of good ideas as to where we might invest in alternatives. This book is a must-have on the shelf of any savvy investor as we face the second half of the age of oil."
—Charles Hall, ESF Foundation Distinguished Professor, College of Environmental Science and Forestry, State University of New York
"Profit from the Peak will help you develop and maintain financial security as the price of oil soars and our globalized economy gets into trouble. Hicks and Nelder show how you and your community can tackle the long transition of relocalization. Learn about the power of locally generated energy—and benefit from their practical guide to investing in the most efficientand attractive of today's post-petroleum alternatives."
—Julian Darley, founder of the Post Carbon Institute and author of High Noon for Natural Gas
"Brian and Chris deliver the painful yet potentially profitable truth about peak oil. Not theory anymore, but reality. This book is a must if you want a clear path to profits in the age of peak oil."
—Kevin Kerr, Editor of Dow Jones Global Resources Trader and President of Kerr Trading International
"Profit from the Peak shows not only why investment in alternative energy sources is about to skyrocket, but more importantly, where investment is going to pay off the most, by concisely describing the huge variety of upcoming energy sources and their relevant companies."
—Rembrandt Koppelaar, oil analyst, President of ASPO Netherlands
About the Author
Chris Nelder is a self-taught energy expert who has intensively studied peak oil for five years and written hundreds of articles on peak oil and energy in general. He also founded and published an online magazine called Better World in the mid '90s, as part of his lifelong interest in fostering environmental and social responsibility. Nelder is a frequent contributor to Energy and Capital, among other publications, and is an active investor in energy.
Brian Hicks worked for Agora Publishing, one of the largest financial newsletter publishers in the world, for ten years before helping to found Angel Publishing. In addition to being the Managing Editor of Energy and Capital and The $20 Trillion Report, Hicks writes a weekly column for Wealth Daily concerning high-profit opportunities in the ever-tumultuous geopolitical environment.
Table of Contents
Part I. The Crisis in a Barrel.
Chapter 1 - December 16, 2005: The Day the Devil Wept a Thousand Tears a Second.
Chapter 2 – What is Peak Oil?
What is Oil?
What Is Peak Oil?
Types of Oil.
The Importance of Giant Oil Fields.
When Is the Peak?
Reserve Replacement and Deepwater Drilling.
Drilling Like Never Before.
The Bottom Line on Peak Oil.
The Hard Truth.
Chapter 3 – Wanted: Five New Saudi Arabias.
Global Demand and Population..
China and India.
Making up for Depletion.
Chapter 4 - $480 a Barrel: The True Value of Oil.
Cheaper than Water.
Draining the National Coffers.
Costs to the U.S. Military.
The True Cost of Oil: $480 a Barrel.
Climate Change Cost.
Natural Capital Costs.
Chapter 5 - The Pentagon Prepares for Peak Oil.
Reduce Dependence on Oil.
Reduce CO2 Emissions.
Staunch the Bleeding.
Invest Heavily in Renewables.
Other Renewables Close Behind.
Solar for China?
Part II. Making Money from the Fossil Fuels That Are Left.
Chapter 6 –Twilight for Fossil Fuels.
Diminishing Returns and Receding Horizons.
Chapter 7 - The Road to El Dorado: The Alberta-Texas Oilsands Pipeline.
Part III. Energy after Oil.
Chapter 8 - The Renewable Revolution.
Chapter 9 - Endless Energy: Here Comes the Sun.
A Short History of Solar Technologies.
The Industry Takes Off.
PV Takes Center Stage.
Chapter 10 - Pressure Cooker: Tapping the Earth’s Heat.
What is Geothermal Power?
Benefits of Geothermal Power.
Chapter 11 –Nuclear's Second Act.
China and Nuclear Power.
Limits to Nuclear Power.
Chapter 12 - What's Needed: A Manhattan Project for Energy.
The Importance of Timely Reponse.
Carbon Taxes and Cap-and-Trade.
Oil Depletion Protocol.
Replacing the Fleet.
Combined Heat and Power.
Wave and Tidal Energy.
The Hydrogen Economy.
Chapter 13 – A Future Electric.
The Rail Revolution.
Epilogue: Why I'm an Energy Optimist.
A Harsh Reality.
Foresight is 2020.
A True Jeffersonian Agrarian Democracy.
Never Sell Short Humanity.
Appendix A. Energy Units and Equivalences Tables.
Appendix B. Top Oil Producers and Peak Production.
Appendix C. Energy Mix Charts.
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