Synopses & Reviews
Is the U.S. economy turning Japanese?
According to maverick investment writers Bill Bonner and Addison Wiggin, the countrys current economic picture mirrors that of Japans decade-old "soft depression"caused by an aging population and a structural reaction to its record-breaking financial boom.
As the U.S. downturn drags on, investors want to know whats behind it all, whats in store, and what they can do to safeguard their investments. Financial Reckoning Day: Surviving the Soft Depression of the 21st Century helps you chart your own financial destiny in todays precarious investing climate. Irreverent and eye-opening, this "big picture" investment book starts with a simple premise: history shows us that investing has less to do with raw economic data and new statisticsthe domain of most other investment booksand more to do with old rules, metaphors, and experience.
Putting this unique metaphorical focus (and its underlying principles) into action, Financial Reckoning Day draws upon military and sociopolitical milestones to highlight the surges and slides of history. Going a step further, the authors emphasize the powerful relevance of these events to todays economic uncertainties.
Brimming with down-to-earth wisdom and take-it-to-heart lessons, Financial Reckoning Day tells you:
- Why the "Information Age" stock boom went bust, with sobering insights into such companies as Amazon.com, Cisco Systems, and Global Crossing
- Why high-spending, high-borrowing consumerism "leveraged" the U.S. economy and what you might expect from the "soft, slow depression" in the decade ahead
- Why Japans "miracle economy" unexpectedly collapsed and why a decade of monetary stimulus has failed to revive it
- How the Civil Warand the financing of wars in generalled to the creation of the central banking system
- What the legacy of Fed chief Alan Greenspan "ought" to be
- How the speculative mania for John Laws Compagnie des Indes in the early eighteenth century presaged the dot.com stock craze
- How the "Aging of the West" is more likely to affect stock prices in the years to come than fiscal policy
As it reveals the hazards of democratic consumer capitalism and the financial follies of history, Financial Reckoning Day warns that depressions are not necessarily a thing of the past. And thats why its so vital to have an essential, wide-angle resource like this on hand . . . to get you through the current crunchand put profits back in your portfolio.
Review
“This book is an intellectual tour de force.” (
GetAbstract.com)
“…a very level-headed book for adventurous readers.” (Accounting Technician, May 2004)
This worthwhile, well-organized book presents insights into the current U.S. economy by comparing contemporary economic events with historical ones, especially such systems as Japan's in the 1990s and the United States in the 1930s. Find out why high-spending, high-borrowing consumerism leveraged the U.S. economy and also what the "soft depression" means for investors. (Best Business Books 2003, Library Journal, March 15, 2004)
"...The authors...come up with some disturbing conclusions..." (The Journal, Newcastle, 5 February 2004)
"...every serious investor should read this book..." (www.iii.co.uk (AMPLE), 6 January 2004)
"...the book has rattled me enough to prompt further inquiry." (The Telegraph, 13 December 2004)
Synopsis
FINANCIAL RECKONING DAY
"History shows that people who save and invest grow and prosper, and the others deteriorate and collapse."
"As Financial Reckoning Day demonstrates, artificially low interest rates and rapid credit creation policies set by Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve caused the bubble in U.S. stocks of the late '90s. . . . Now, policies being pursued at the Fed are making the bubble worse. They are changing it from a stock market bubble to a consumption and housing bubble."
"And when those bubbles burst, it's going to be worse than the stock market bubble . . ."
"No one, of course, wants to hear it. They want the quick fix. They want to buy the stock and watch it go up twenty-five percent because that's what happened last year, and that's what they say on TV."
Jim Rogers, author of the bestseller Adventure Capitalist from the Foreword to Financial Reckoning Day
More praise from bestselling authors
"An investment book that will not only enlarge your investment horizon, but also make you laugh and thoroughly entertain you for a few hours."
Dr. Marc Faber, author of the bestseller Tomorrow's Gold
"Financial Reckoning Day is . . . in the category of scintillating sex or good vision, something to be savored and enjoyedbefore it is too late."
James Dale Davidson
author of the bestseller The Great Reckoning and The Sovereign Individual
"A powerful and insightful vision . . . each paragraph stimulates a new rush of thoughts that fills in gaping holes in the investors' understanding of what has happened to their dreams . . . while prepping them to confront any new confusion that may arrive."
Martin D. Weiss, author of the bestseller Crash Profits
Synopsis
"History shows that people who save and invest grow and prosper, and the others deteriorate and collapse.
As Financial Reckoning Day demonstrates, artificially low interest rates and rapid credit creation policies set by Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve caused the bubble in U.S. stocks of the late '90s. . . . Now, policies being pursued at the Fed are making the bubble worse. They are changing it from a stock market bubble to a consumption and housing bubble.
And when those bubbles burst, it's going to be worse than the stock market bubble . . .
No one, of course, wants to hear it. They want the quick fix. They want to buy the stock and watch it go up twenty-five percent because that's what happened last year, and that's what they say on TV."
—Jim Rogers, author of the bestseller Adventure Capitalist
from the Foreword to Financial Reckoning Day
Advanced praise from bestselling authors
"An investment book that will not only enlarge your investment horizon, but also make you laugh and thoroughly entertain you for a few hours."
—Dr. Marc Faber, author of the bestseller Tomorrow's Gold
"Financial Reckoning Day is . . . in the category of scintillating sex or good vision, something to be savored and enjoyed-before it is too late."
—James Dale Davidson, author of the bestseller The Great Reckoning and The Sovereign Individual
"A powerful and insightful vision . . . each paragraph stimulates a new rush of thoughts that fills in gaping holes in the investor's understanding of what has happened to their dreams . . . while prepping them to confront any new confusion that may arrive."
—Martin D. Weiss, author of the bestseller Crash Profits
About the Author
WILLIAM BONNER is President and CEO of Agora Publishing, one of the largest financial newsletter companies. Headquartered in Baltimore, Agora now has offices overseas in London, Paris, Ireland, Bonn, and Johannesburg. Mr. Bonner is also the creator of the Daily Reckoning, a contrarian financial newsletter sent via e-mail (www.dailyreckoning.com).
ADDISON WIGGIN is the publisher and editorial director for the Daily Reckoning (www.dailyreckoning.com). The newsletter now has more than 500,000 readers in the United States and Great Britain and is translated daily into German and French. It has received praise from mainstream publications, including Money.
Table of Contents
Introdcution.
1. The Gildered Age.
2. Progress, Perfectibility, and the End of History.
3. John Law and the Origins of a Bad Idea.
4. Turning Japanese.
5. The Fabulous Destiny of Alan Greenspan.
6. The Era of Crowds.
7. The Hard Math of Demography.
8. Reckoning Day: The Deleveraging of America.
9. Moral Hazards.
Notes.
Bibliography.
Index.