Synopses & Reviews
Over the past ten years, economic volatility has come into its own after being treated for decades as a secondary phenomenon in business cycle literature. This evolution has been driven by the recognition of the permanent negative effects of volatility on long-run growth and inequality, especially in poor countries. After presenting basic features of volatility, this volume investigates commodity price volatility as an absorber and amplifier of shocks. The collection then examines macroeconomic crises, which are driven by the same phenomena that make volatility difficult to treat effectively.
Synopsis
This collection explores the phenomenon of economic volatility, which studies show had adverse effects on long-run growth, especially in poor countries. Its contribution is to bring together concepts, empirical results, and policy recommendations in a relatively new field in economics.
About the Author
Joshua Aizenman is Professor of Economics at the University of California, Santa Cruz. Prior to his appointment at UCSC, he was Champion Professor of International Economics at Dartmouth College. Professor Aizenman's other affiliations have included teaching and research positions at the University of Pennsylvania, the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business, and the Hebrew University in Jerusalem. He has held consultancies with the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank, and the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. His research covers a range of issues in open economy including commercial and financial policies, crises in emerging markets, foreign direct investment, capital controls, and exchange rate regimes. Professor Aizenman also serves as a Research Associate for the National Bureau of Economic Research.Brian Pinto is Lead Economist in the Economic Policy Department, Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Network, at the World Bank, Washington, DC, where he has worked for more than 20 years. He has had diverse assignments, including in Treasury operations, the International Finance Corporation, the Europe and Central Asia Region, and various central departments. Dr Pinto lived and worked in Poland at the start of its momentous reforms (1990-92) and Russia just before its 1998 crisis and subsequent recovery (1998-2001). His areas of expertise include analytical and practical country-based experience in macroeconomic crises and recovery, public debt sustainability analysis and transition economics. His publications have appeared in numerous professional journals.
Table of Contents
Overview Joshua Aizenman and Brian Pinto; Part I. What is Volatility and Why Does It Matter?: 1. Volatility: definitions and consequences Holger Wolf; 2. Volatility and growth Viktoria Hnatkovska and Norman Loayza; 3. Volatility and poverty Thomas Laursen and Sandeep Mahajan; Part II. Commodity Prices and Volatility: 4. Agricultural commodity price volatility Jan Dehn, Christopher Gilbert and Panos Varangis; 5. Managing oil booms and busts Julia Devlin and Michael Lewin; Part III. Finance and Volatility: 6. Finance and volatility Stijn Claessens; 7. Evaluating pricing signals from the bond markets John Merrick; Part IV. Managing Crises: 8. Managing macroeconomic crises: policy lessons Jeffrey Frankel and Shang-Jin Wei; 9. Lessons from the Russian crisis of 1998 and recovery Brian Pinto, Evsey Gurvich and Sergei Ulatov; 10. Argentina's macroeconomic collapse: causes and lessons Luis Serven and Guillermo Perry; 11. Default episodes in the 1990s: what have we learned? Punam Chuhan and Federico Sturzenegger; Technical appendix Viktoria Hnatkovska.