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Assessing Financial Vulnerability: An Early Warning System for Emerging Markets

by Morris Goldstein

Assessing Financial Vulnerability: An Early Warning System for Emerging Markets Cover

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Synopses & Reviews

Publisher Comments:

Ever since the European currency crises of 1992-93, the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, and especially the Asian/global crisis of 1997-98, there has been heightened interest in early warning signals of financial crises. This pathbreaking study presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early warning indicators for emerging-market economies that should prove useful in the construction of a more effective global warning system. Not only are the authors able to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have sent the most reliable early warning signals of currency and banking crises in emerging economies, they also test the out-of-sample performance of the model during the Asian crisis and find that it does a good job of identifying the most vulnerable economies. In addition, they show how the early warning system can be used to construct a 'composite' crisis indicator to weigh the importance of alternative channels of cross-country 'contagion' of crises, and to generate information on the recovery path from crises.

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Average customer rating based on 1 comment:
yaner55812, June 18, 2007 (view all comments by yaner55812)
I think that with the deepening of China's market economy system reform and the rapid development on the domestic capital market, the complexity and the incertitude of the economy field is increasingly obvious. It is a common fact that more and more enterprises are down to bankruptcy and liquidation because of financial crisis. So how to establish an effective financial early-warning system for enterprise to keep away the financial crisis is the urgent assignment of our financial management.
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Product Details

ISBN:
9780881323047
Author:
Goldstein, Morris
Publisher:
Institute for International Economics
Author:
Kaminsky, Graciela Laura
Author:
Reinhart, Carmen M.
Subject:
Economics - Theory
Subject:
Economic forecasting
Subject:
Energy industries
Subject:
International - Economics
Subject:
Business & Economics-International - Economics
Subject:
Business & Economics-Economics - Theory
Subject:
Business & Economics : International - Economics
Subject:
Business & Economics : Economics - Theory
Publication Date:
June 2000
Binding:
eBooks
Language:
English
Illustrations:
Y
Pages:
152

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