Synopses & Reviews
A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanityand#146;s struggle against randomness Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settlingand#151;reluctantlyand#151;for likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of manand#146;s millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictableand#151;to help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applicationsand#151;from gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.
Review
[Michael and Ellen Kaplan] have hit on a great subject, and they explore it, down through the centuries and across the globe, with an enthusiasm that borders on glee. . . . A dizzying, exhilarating ride. (William Grimes,
The New York Times)
Synopsis
A layperson's sojourn into the realm of probability evaluates statistical information for a wide variety of arenas, from poker and politics to weather and war, in an account that profiles numerous men and women who use the forces of probability in creative and revelatory ways. Reprint. 30,000 first printing.
Synopsis
A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanity's struggle against randomness.
Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settlingreluctantlyfor likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of mans millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictableto help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applicationsfrom gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.
Synopsis
A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanityand#146;s struggle against randomness Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settlingand#151;reluctantlyand#151;for likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of manand#146;s millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictableand#151;to help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applicationsand#151;from gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.
About the Author
A native of Wayland, Massachusetts, Michael Kaplan wrote plays and musicals throughout high school and at Princeton University, where he attended college. Upon graduation he moved to New York where a number of his plays received productions and staged readings, primarily at The Ensemble Studio Theatre, where he is a member. For the past twenty-two years, he has lived in Los Angeles, working as a television writer and producer on a total of twelve different prime time shows for ABC, NBC, FOX, and UPN. His career as a comedy writer has included stints as a writer and Supervising Producer on two of television's most respected comedies, Roseanne and Frasier. For his work on the latter, he received an Emmy award, as a member of the producing staff, for best comedy series. He co-created and Executive Produced I'm In the Band for Disney XD. His new show, Dog With a Blog will be premiering on Disney Channel in the fall of 2012. He is the author of Betty Bunny Loves Chocolate Cake and Betty Bunny Wants Everything. He currently resides in Los Angeles with his wife and three children.