Synopses & Reviews
Social scientists have long criticized American voters for being "unsophisticated" in the way they acquire and use political information. The low level of political sophistication leaves them vulnerable to manipulation by political "elites," whose sway over voters is deemed incontrovertible and often decisive. In this book, Peter Nardulli challenges the conventional wisdom that citizens are "manageable fools," with little capacity to exercise independent judgment in the voting booth. Rather, he argues, voters are eminently capable of playing an efficacious role in democratic politics and of routinely demonstrating the ability to evaluate competing stewards in a discriminating manner.
Nardulli's book offers a cognitively based model of voting and uses a normal vote approach to analyzing local-level election returns. It examines the entire sweep of United States presidential elections in the democratic era (1828 to 2000), making it the most encompassing empirical analysis of presidential voting to date. Nardulli's analysis separates presidential elections into three categories: those that produce a major, enduring change in voting patterns, those that represent a short-term deviation from prevailing voting patterns, and those in which the dominant party receives a resounding endorsement from the electorate. These "disequilibrating" elections have been routine in American electoral history, particularly after the adoption of the Progressive-Era reforms.
Popular Efficacy in the Democratic Era provides a dramatically different picture of mass-elite linkages than most prior studies of American democracy, and an image of voters as being neither foolish nor manageable. Moreover, it shows why party elites must take proactive steps to provide for the core political desires of voters.
Review
"Nardulli deserves compliments for his effort in building a valuable subnational election data archive, his caution in drawing inferences from aggregate data, his creativity in devising aggregate indicators of voting patterns and their possible determinants, his methodological sophistication (including his ingenious estimates of electoral college impacts), and the novel results his analysis has produced. . . . This is an important book for scholars of voting behavior, American politics, and democratic theory."--Paul Allen Beck, Perspectives on Politics
Review
"Nardulli hopes to influence the way in which social scientists conceptualize and investigate democracy. If researchers change how they approach their work, they might discover genuine political problems and ultimately make better real-world recommendations."--Nicole Mellow, Political Science Quarterly
Review
"This is an important book for scholars of voting behavior, American politics, and democratic theory.... Popular Efficacy in the Democratic Era has added valuably to our understanding of political accountability in America."--Paul Allen Beck, Perspectives on Politics
Review
Nardulli hopes to influence the way in which social scientists conceptualize and investigate democracy. If researchers change how they approach their work, they might discover genuine political problems and ultimately make better real-world recommendations. Nicole Mellow
Review
Nardulli deserves compliments for his effort in building a valuable subnational election data archive, his caution in drawing inferences from aggregate data, his creativity in devising aggregate indicators of voting patterns and their possible determinants, his methodological sophistication (including his ingenious estimates of electoral college impacts), and the novel results his analysis has produced. . . . This is an important book for scholars of voting behavior, American politics, and democratic theory. Political Science Quarterly
Review
This is an important book for scholars of voting behavior, American politics, and democratic theory.... Popular Efficacy in the Democratic Era has added valuably to our understanding of political accountability in America. Paul Allen Beck - Perspectives on Politics
Synopsis
Social scientists have long criticized American voters for being "unsophisticated" in the way they acquire and use political information. The low level of political sophistication leaves them vulnerable to manipulation by political "elites," whose sway over voters is deemed incontrovertible and often decisive. In this book, Peter Nardulli challenges the conventional wisdom that citizens are "manageable fools," with little capacity to exercise independent judgment in the voting booth. Rather, he argues, voters are eminently capable of playing an efficacious role in democratic politics and of routinely demonstrating the ability to evaluate competing stewards in a discriminating manner.
Nardulli's book offers a cognitively based model of voting and uses a normal vote approach to analyzing local-level election returns. It examines the entire sweep of United States presidential elections in the democratic era (1828 to 2000), making it the most encompassing empirical analysis of presidential voting to date. Nardulli's analysis separates presidential elections into three categories: those that produce a major, enduring change in voting patterns, those that represent a short-term deviation from prevailing voting patterns, and those in which the dominant party receives a resounding endorsement from the electorate. These "disequilibrating" elections have been routine in American electoral history, particularly after the adoption of the Progressive-Era reforms.
Popular Efficacy in the Democratic Era provides a dramatically different picture of mass-elite linkages than most prior studies of American democracy, and an image of voters as being neither foolish nor manageable. Moreover, it shows why party elites must take proactive steps to provide for the core political desires of voters.
Synopsis
"Nardulli's book is an important contribution to the field of U.S. electoral behavior and to the study of U.S. political parties. It employs a massive new data set to provide major insights about democracy in America."--Paul Abramson, Michigan State University
Synopsis
"Nardulli's book is an important contribution to the field of U.S. electoral behavior and to the study of U.S. political parties. It employs a massive new data set to provide major insights about democracy in America."--Paul Abramson, Michigan State University
Synopsis
Social scientists have long criticized American voters for being "unsophisticated" in the way they acquire and use political information. The low level of political sophistication leaves them vulnerable to manipulation by political "elites," whose sway over voters is deemed incontrovertible and often decisive. In this book, Peter Nardulli challenges the conventional wisdom that citizens are "manageable fools," with little capacity to exercise independent judgment in the voting booth. Rather, he argues, voters are eminently capable of playing an efficacious role in democratic politics and of routinely demonstrating the ability to evaluate competing stewards in a discriminating manner.
Nardulli's book offers a cognitively based model of voting and uses a normal vote approach to analyzing local-level election returns. It examines the entire sweep of United States presidential elections in the democratic era (1828 to 2000), making it the most encompassing empirical analysis of presidential voting to date. Nardulli's analysis separates presidential elections into three categories: those that produce a major, enduring change in voting patterns, those that represent a short-term deviation from prevailing voting patterns, and those in which the dominant party receives a resounding endorsement from the electorate. These "disequilibrating" elections have been routine in American electoral history, particularly after the adoption of the Progressive-Era reforms.
Popular Efficacy in the Democratic Era provides a dramatically different picture of mass-elite linkages than most prior studies of American democracy, and an image of voters as being neither foolish nor manageable. Moreover, it shows why party elites must take proactive steps to provide for the core political desires of voters.
Synopsis
"Nardulli's book is an important contribution to the field of U.S. electoral behavior and to the study of U.S. political parties. It employs a massive new data set to provide major insights about democracy in America."--Paul Abramson, Michigan State University
About the Author
Peter F. Nardulli is Professor of Political Science and head of the Department of Political Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He is the founding director of UIUC's Center for the Study of Democratic Governance.
Table of Contents
Preface ix
Acknowledgments xiii
ChAPTER ONE: Democracy, Popular Efficacy, and the Electoral Arena 1
ChAPTER TWO: Democratic Citizenship, Democratic Citizens, and Mass-Elite Linkages 18
CHAPTER THREE: Exogenous Events, Evaluations of Stewardship, and Citizens'Normal Voting Behavior 44
CHAPTER FOUR: Endogenous In .uences and the Evaluative Capacities of Democratic Citizens 75
CHAPTER FIVE: Conceptual and Methodological Foundations for a Reexamination of Popular Efficacy 96
CHAPTER SIX: The Roots of Partisanship: Party Elites, Exogenous Groups, and Electoral Bases 120
CHAPTER SEVEN: Partisan Realignments and Electoral Independence: The Incidence, Distribution, and Magnitude of Enduring Electoral Change 150
CHAPTER EIGHT: Electoral Perturbations and Electoral Independence: Stewardship, Partisanship, and Accountability 180
CHAPTER NINE: The Electoral Impact of Departures from Normal Voting Patterns: Electoral Jolts and the Aspirations of Political Elites 224
CHAPTER TEN: Popular Ef .cacy in the Democratic Era 245
Index 261